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Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel

How the sports market is pricing "Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel 100% Completed Match 100% Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner 100% Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $138K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel100%
Completed Match100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 21.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 22.50%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to vancouver: jay dylan friend vs toby samuel. This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Toby Samuel in the Vancouver, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' i…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs Toby Samuel. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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