Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 Winner | 100% Griekspoor | 0% Shimabukuro |
| Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro Set 1 Winner | 0% Griekspoor | 100% Shimabukuro |
| Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over 2.5 | 0% Under 2.5 |
| Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro | 0% Tallon Griekspoor | 100% Sho Shimabukuro |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro. This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Sho Shimabukuro in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Grieks…
Methodology
This page reviews Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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