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Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik

How the sports market is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $947K Liquidity: $284K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 3.581%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 36.580%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 38.574%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 4.543%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 Winner42%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik38%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-1.523%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-2.54%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafo…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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