Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cruzeiro EC | 100% |
| SC Internacional | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional meet Cruzeiro EC in a Brazil Série A fixture scheduled for Wednesday, 22 July 2026, with the market currently pricing the home side at 0% YES. That is an unusually hard line for a matchup that has often been competitive: in the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Internacional have won 8, Cruzeiro 5, and 7 have ended level, which is a useful reminder that this pairing has not been a one-sided one historically.[1]
For traders, the most important drivers are likely to be short-term team news rather than the long-run head-to-head. The available pre-match data points to Internacional having a modest attacking edge overall, with FootyStats rating them 22% better for goals scored in the matchup sample, but that sort of historical tendency can be overwhelmed by current form, coaching changes, or late injury and suspension news.[1] The key catalysts to watch are confirmed starting XIs, any goalkeeper or centre-back absences, and whether either club arrives off a congested schedule that forces rotation; those are the factors most likely to move a price away from an extreme probability once line-ups are announced.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $270K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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