Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 92% |
| O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| Kansas O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| Missouri O/U 21.5 | 73% |
| Missouri O/U 22.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Kansas O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| Kansas O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| Missouri vs. Kansas | 67% |
| Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| O/U 45.5 | 65% |
| Kansas O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Missouri O/U 24.5 | 62% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| Missouri O/U 25.5 | 61% |
| Missouri O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Kansas O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 59% |
| O/U 49.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Missouri O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| O/U 50.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Kansas O/U 22.5 | 54% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Isaiah Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Micah Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Jude James: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| DaMarion Fowlkes: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Missouri O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Austin Simmons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cayden Lee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Bruhn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nahzae Cox: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Xai'Shaun Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brett Norfleet: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malae Fonoti: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Dupree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keaton Kubecka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Naeshaun Montgomery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Goodie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donald Collier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Shaun Terry II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordon Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Kansas O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Missouri O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Kansas O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Kansas O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Missouri O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 55.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Spread: Missouri (-7.5) | 40% |
| Kansas O/U 25.5 | 40% |
| Jamal Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 40% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Missouri O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| Kansas O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Missouri O/U 31.5 | 37% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 35% |
| O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Missouri O/U 33.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| Missouri O/U 34.5 | 29% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Kansas O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| Donovan Olugbode: Anytime Touchdown | 27% |
| Kansas O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Missouri O/U 35.5 | 25% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Dylan Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 24% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| Yasin Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| O/U 63.5 | 21% |
| Nik McMillan: Anytime Touchdown | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| Spread -31.5 | 14% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| Spread -24.5 | 9% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 92% chance of missouri vs. kansas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Kansas, scheduled for September 11 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $104K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Missouri vs. Kansas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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