Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Mississippi State vs. Minnesota | 97% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 37.5 | 91% |
| O/U 41.5 | 91% |
| O/U 43.5 | 91% |
| Mississippi State O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| O/U 38.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| O/U 51.5 | 90% |
| O/U 55.5 | 89% |
| O/U 53.5 | 88% |
| O/U 54.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| O/U 69.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 45.5 | 55% |
| Spread -9.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Darius Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Fluff Bothwell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Anthony Evans III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kamario Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Thomas Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Javon Tracy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Ragins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sanfrisco Magee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drake Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah Jennings: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sam West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Pierce Walsh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Kolin Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavier Gayten: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Niko Castillo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joeseph Skipworth: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marquis Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaden Helms: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ayden Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Steptoe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gracen Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| Spread -13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 39% |
| Spread -21.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Spread -22.5 | 39% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -16.5 | 36% |
| Spread -24.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -31.5 | 30% |
| Spread -34.5 | 25% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 9% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
Mississippi State vs. Minnesota — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and Minnesota, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the gam…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $99K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Mississippi State vs. Minnesota. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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