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Ohio State vs. Texas

How the sports market is pricing "Ohio State vs. Texas" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 28.5 94% O/U 30.5 90% O/U 32.5 86% O/U 34.5 83% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.594%
O/U 30.590%
O/U 32.586%
O/U 34.583%
O/U 36.582%
O/U 38.576%
Texas O/U 18.575%
2Q O/U 7.575%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
Ohio State O/U 17.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 40.572%
O/U 42.572%
4Q O/U 7.569%
2H Moneyline67%
2Q Moneyline67%
3Q Moneyline67%
4Q Moneyline67%
Ohio State O/U 20.566%
O/U 44.563%
Texas O/U 21.563%
Texas O/U 2.562%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
Texas O/U 22.561%
O/U 46.560%
2Q O/U 10.560%
O/U 47.557%
Ohio State O/U 2.557%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
1Q O/U 7.556%
4Q O/U 10.556%
O/U 48.555%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
2Q O/U 13.552%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown51%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2H O/U 18.551%
1Q O/U 4.551%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Texas O/U 24.550%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
Texas O/U 25.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
O/U 50.549%
1H Moneyline49%
1Q Moneyline49%
Texas 1H O/U 15.549%
1Q Spread -3.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
Ohio State O/U 24.548%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Spread -0.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
1Q Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
2Q Spread -2.544%
4Q Spread -0.544%
Ohio State O/U 26.544%
1Q O/U 10.544%
O/U 52.543%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
Spread -3.542%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
3Q O/U 12.542%
3Q Spread -0.541%
3Q Spread -2.541%
Texas O/U 27.541%
3Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -2.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
1H Spread -3.539%
1Q O/U 13.539%
O/U 54.538%
Ohio State O/U 27.538%
1H O/U 27.538%
2Q O/U 16.538%
Spread -4.537%
4Q Spread -2.537%
2Q Spread -2.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
Spread -3.537%
1Q Spread -3.537%
2Q Spread -3.537%
Spread -5.536%
2H Spread -3.536%
1Q Spread -2.536%
1H Spread -3.536%
O/U 56.535%
Ohio State O/U 3.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
4Q Spread -3.535%
3Q Spread -3.534%
Spread -6.533%
Texas O/U 30.532%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
2Q Spread -3.532%
4Q Spread -3.532%
4Q O/U 16.532%
Spread -5.531%
Spread -4.531%
1H O/U 30.531%
3Q Spread -3.531%
O/U 58.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown29%
Ohio State O/U 30.528%
Spread -6.528%
2Q O/U 19.528%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 60.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.524%
1Q O/U 16.524%
4Q O/U 19.524%
Spread -8.523%
O/U 62.523%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
O/U 64.520%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
Spread -8.518%
Spread -13.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -27.516%
Spread -11.516%
O/U 66.515%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
Spread -34.514%
O/U 68.514%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -12.514%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -24.513%
Spread -12.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -15.59%
Spread -31.58%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -15.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -18.55%
Spread -19.55%
Spread -22.55%

Market context

Ohio State vs. Texas — current market-implied probability: 94%. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resol…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 94% for "Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Ohio State vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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