Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| O/U 34.5 | 95% |
| Spread -23.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| O/U 36.5 | 94% |
| Spread -26.5 | 94% |
| Spread -24.5 | 93% |
| Spread -13.5 | 92% |
| Spread -16.5 | 92% |
| Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| Spread -17.5 | 91% |
| Spread -27.5 | 90% |
| O/U 38.5 | 89% |
| O/U 40.5 | 89% |
| Spread -29.5 | 87% |
| Spread -30.5 | 86% |
| Spread -20.5 | 85% |
| O/U 42.5 | 84% |
| Spread -31.5 | 83% |
| O/U 44.5 | 80% |
| Spread -33.5 | 80% |
| Spread -34.5 | 78% |
| O/U 46.5 | 76% |
| Spread -35.5 | 74% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Spread -36.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| Spread -14.5 | 72% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -37.5 | 71% |
| Spread -10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 48.5 | 68% |
| Spread -38.5 | 67% |
| Spread -39.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 65% |
| O/U 50.5 | 64% |
| Spread -40.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 45.5 | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 62% |
| Notre Dame O/U 46.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 62% |
| Spread -41.5 | 62% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| Spread -8.5 | 60% |
| Spread -21.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 59% |
| O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Notre Dame O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread -42.5 | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 54% |
| Spread -43.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 53% |
| Spread -44.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Rice O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Rice O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyvonn Byars: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jacurri Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braylen Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Payton Matthews: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DAndre Hardeman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davis Lane Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Grice: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Morgan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Mosey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -45.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| Spread -46.5 | 45% |
| Spread -47.5 | 44% |
| Rice O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Rice 1H O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| Notre Dame O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| Spread -48.5 | 39% |
| Notre Dame O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -28.5 | 36% |
| Spread -49.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 35% |
| Notre Dame O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 34% |
| Spread -50.5 | 34% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| Spread -51.5 | 31% |
| O/U 62.5 | 29% |
| Spread -52.5 | 28% |
| Rice O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Rice O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Rice O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Spread -54.5 | 23% |
| O/U 66.5 | 18% |
| Spread -57.5 | 17% |
| Spread -58.5 | 17% |
| O/U 68.5 | 16% |
| Rice O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 10.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 12.5 | 13% |
| O/U 70.5 | 12% |
| Spread -61.5 | 12% |
| O/U 72.5 | 11% |
| Spread -60.5 | 11% |
| O/U 74.5 | 9% |
| Spread -64.5 | 6% |
| Rice vs. Notre Dame | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of rice vs. notre dame. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $115K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Rice vs. Notre Dame. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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