Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 97% |
| O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| Wake Forest O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 83% |
| Wake Forest vs. Purdue | 82% |
| O/U 45.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| O/U 48.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 49.5 | 71% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 68% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 64% |
| O/U 50.5 | 63% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spread -9.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Purdue O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Wake Forest O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ty Clark III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gio Lopez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kam Shanks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carlos Hernandez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Lawrence: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kamrean Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jack Foley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fame Ijeboi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ryan Browne: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jerrick Gibson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antonio Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| De'Nylon Morrissette: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavier Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chauncey Magwood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Antonio Meeks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KD Daniels: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Asaad Waseem: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Burhenn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Drayden Dickmann: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Loerzel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kylan Fox: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Purdue O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -14.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Spread -16.5 | 32% |
| Spread -17.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| O/U 63.5 | 24% |
| Spread -1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 15% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wake forest vs. purdue. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and Purdue, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the gam…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $228K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Wake Forest vs. Purdue. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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