1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

1. FC Cologne and Real Sociedad meet in a club friendly that has already carried the sort of volatile scorelines that make exact-score markets thinly traded. Cologne’s recent run has included a 2-2 draw with Hertha BSC, while Real Sociedad have mixed competitive and warm-up results, including a 1-1 league draw with Espanyol and a 2-1 loss to Toulouse in pre-season play.[4][7][10] The last UEFA head-to-head between the clubs is limited but balanced enough to matter: one win apiece across the historical record, with three goals each in that tie, which points to no strong legacy edge in this pairing.[13]

For a market showing **0% YES**, the practical read is that traders are being asked to price a very specific scoreline rather than just a side or total. Friendlies also tend to produce rotation, substitutions and uneven minutes, which can distort any pre-match model and make “Any Other Score” more plausible than a common league-style result. Cologne’s recent pattern has been open, with high-scoring friendly and league exits in the record, while Real Sociedad have also shown a tendency to be involved in lower-control games, including draws and one-goal margins.[4][7][8]

The main catalysts are the final team sheets, any late changes to starting goalkeepers or centre-backs, and whether either side treats this as a serious first-team run-out or a heavily rotated exercise. Match listings from ESPN, Sofascore and 365Scores indicate the fixture and live coverage were scheduled around 8 August 2026, but the score market will only settle off the official final score if the match is completed as listed.[1][3][4] A scoreline shift late on is especially relevant in a friendly context, where bench usage can quickly change the probability of a precise result.[3][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

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