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Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco - More Markets

"Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco - More Markets" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $505K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Liverpool FC O/U 0.5100%
Liverpool FC O/U 1.5100%
AS Monaco O/U 0.5100%
AS Monaco O/U 1.5100%
AS Monaco O/U 2.5100%
Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
AS Monaco 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
AS Monaco 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Liverpool FC (-1.5)0%
AS Monaco (-1.5)0%
Liverpool FC (-2.5)0%
AS Monaco (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Liverpool FC O/U 2.50%
AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Liverpool’s pre-season meeting with AS Monaco at Anfield is live in a context where the crowd has priced **0% YES**, but the fixture itself has already shown why “more markets” can be volatile: Liverpool have been coming off a mixed warm-up spell, including a 4-2 loss to Leeds after earlier wins over Sunderland and Wrexham, while Monaco arrived after a narrower run of summer results that included a 1-0 win over Getafe, a 2-0 defeat to Sporting CP and a 2-2 draw with Cercle Brugge.[14] The set-up also matters because this is Andoni Iraola’s first game in charge at Anfield, which adds selection uncertainty and usually means more rotation than a competitive league match.[14]

Historically, Liverpool and Monaco offer only a thin guide: they have met twice in the 2004-05 Champions League group stage, splitting the games 1-1 on wins with no draws, so there is little head-to-head evidence to anchor a market like “more markets”.[5][8] In a friendly, that kind of sparse history tends to matter less than current squad availability and coaching turnover, and the market’s zero pricing is best read as a sign that traders expect the usual pre-season randomness rather than a clean signal from past meetings.[5][14]

The key catalysts are team-news updates and late changes to the starting XIs, especially at centre-back for Liverpool, who were reported to be short in that area with only Virgil van Dijk as an experienced option and Jérémy Jacquet absent from training.[14] Monaco’s own summer disruption also matters, with reports of Maghnes Akliouche leaving for Paris Saint-Germain and Filipe Luís expected to come in as coach, both of which can affect continuity and pressing patterns.[6][14] Any confirmation of stronger line-ups, or a heavily rotated bench, would be the main trigger for a repricing before the 13:30 UTC settlement window closes.[2][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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