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HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC - More Markets

"HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC - More Markets" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% HNK Rijeka O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% HNK Rijeka 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $481K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
HNK Rijeka O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
HNK Rijeka 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
HNK Rijeka (-1.5)0%
Derry City FC (-1.5)0%
HNK Rijeka (-2.5)0%
Derry City FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
HNK Rijeka O/U 1.50%
HNK Rijeka O/U 2.50%
Derry City FC O/U 0.50%
Derry City FC O/U 1.50%
Derry City FC O/U 2.50%
HNK Rijeka 1st Half O/U 0.50%
HNK Rijeka 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
HNK Rijeka 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

HNK Rijeka host Derry City in the second leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League tie, with the Croatian side carrying a 1-0 lead after the first meeting in Rijeka.[1] That scoreline matters for how to read the “more markets” contract: a narrow first-leg margin keeps a range of secondary outcomes alive, but it still leaves Rijeka in the stronger position to control game state, especially if they score first again.[1][3]

Historical precedent in this sort of qualifying tie usually favours the home side when it has already won the opening leg, because the trailing team must chase the match and can become more open at the back. Pre-match models and market pricing also pointed in that direction, with one data preview making Rijeka the clear favourite and projecting a relatively low-scoring game.[3][6] That is consistent with the first leg finishing 1-0 and with the market framing around additional match-specific events rather than a straight winner market.[1][8]

The main catalysts are team news and whether Derry can alter the balance with selection or shape changes before kick-off. The BBC’s live report on the first leg noted the one-goal deficit, which means any confirmed absence, late fitness issue, or attacking lineup change could materially affect prices on goals, cards, or the first team to score.[1] Kick-off is listed for 20:45 CEST, and traders will be watching the starting XIs and any last-minute tactical signals, because those are the clearest dependencies for a market built around “more” outcomes in a tight two-legged tie.[2][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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