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The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London

How the sports market is pricing "The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Completed match? 55% The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London 0% The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Who wins the toss? 0% Volume: $304K Liquidity: $137K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Completed match?55%
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London0%
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Who wins the toss?0%

Market context

London Spirit’s meeting with MI London is the sort of derby that has already produced a clear edge in both directions this season. The sides split their 2026 league encounters: London Spirit chased 165 to win by seven wickets at The Oval on 29 July, then MI London responded on 6 August by making 164 for 6 and winning by four wickets at Lord’s. ESPN’s historical scorecard also shows MI London had been dominant across the wider rivalry before this year, with Spirit taking only their second win in the fixture in that earlier Oval chase. [1][8][2]

That makes a **0% YES** price easiest to read as a market anchored to settlement timing rather than a sporting mismatch: the match has already been completed, and any post-match uncertainty is limited to the usual competition rules on wickets, ties, or on-field tiebreaks. In comparable Hundred matches, a tight finish has not prevented resolution, with BBC reporting a tie between these sides earlier in the competition and the result left to the playing conditions. [3][5]

For traders, the main catalysts are the published scoreline, any official correction to the result, and whether the competition has any administrative issue after the match rather than anything tactical on the day. Lord’s fixtures can be influenced by toss and chase conditions, but ESPN’s live and match pages show this contest has already delivered a definitive on-field winner, while recent reports suggest MI London’s batting depth and Spirit’s power-hitting remain the key team strengths to watch next time these sides meet. [6][12][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Completed match? at 55% for "The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London".

The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London - Completed match? 55% Other 45%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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