Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 50% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London’s meeting with Trent Rockets at the Kia Oval comes after Trent’s latest completed game ended in a six-wicket win, with Mitch Santner’s unbeaten 52 and Tim David’s 32 carrying them to a sixth straight victory and a guaranteed top-three finish.[1] That result underlined a recent trend: Rockets have been closing games with batting depth and controlled chases, while MI London have been far less secure in tight finishes against the same opposition. The historical frame is awkward for a 0% implied chance, because MI London did beat Trent Rockets twice in 2025, including a chase of 170 at the Oval and the final at Lord’s, so the head-to-head is not one-way even if current form points the other direction.[8][11]
For traders, the main catalysts are team sheets, toss and any late bowling or batting absences, because both sides have leaned on a small core of senior players in this edition.[4][11] ESPN’s player watch data highlights Will Jacks and Sam Curran as MI London’s leading batting threats, while Trent’s recent output has been driven by Ben Duckett at the top and all-round support around him.[9][11] The pre-match toss has already gone Trent’s way, with Rockets opting to field, which fits their recent preference for chasing and makes any early MI London score especially relevant to the market’s resolution path.[4][7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →