Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants | 0% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Southern Brave and Manchester Super Giants meet in the men’s Hundred at the Rose Bowl, with the market pricing a **0% YES** outcome despite the fixture being live on the day and both sides still carrying recent head-to-head history. ESPN’s recent match data shows Southern Brave have won the last two men’s meetings, by five wickets in 2025 and by four wickets in 2024, while Manchester Super Giants’ most recent win in the series came in 2023[4]. That head-to-head shape matters because this venue has also tended to stay competitive: the recent Rose Bowl sample in the same data set points to modest scoring and a relatively small gap between batting first and chasing, which makes pre-match certainty hard to justify on cricketing grounds alone[13].
For traders, the main catalysts are late team news, the toss, and any fitness or workload management around strike bowlers and all-rounders. The official live match page confirms the game is at the Utilita Bowl, with Manchester Super Giants winning the toss and choosing to bat, a choice that can be material in a 100-ball match if conditions remain true and batting depth holds up[2]. The scorecard also lists Southern Brave’s men’s squad including Jofra Archer, Chris Jordan and Adil Rashid, while Manchester Super Giants’ side includes Paul Walter, underlining how much the market can shift if one of the headline names is rested, unavailable, or used under bowling restrictions[9]. Recent BBC coverage from the women’s fixture between these clubs also shows Manchester Super Giants producing a fast scoring burst through Richa Ghosh and then defending it with wickets, a reminder that either side can move quickly if one innings breaks open[8][1].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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