Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London | 0% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Southern Brave and MI London meet in The Hundred on 27 July 2026, a domestic T20 competition fixture in England. The match is scheduled for a single evening's play, with result determination following standard competition rules including any Super Over tiebreak if required.
The 0% probability reflects either a technical settlement condition or an absence of trading activity rather than genuine certainty about the outcome. Historical Hundred data shows both franchises have competitive squads capable of winning any given match; neither side has established dominance sufficient to justify extreme probabilities in advance of fixture day. Team composition, pitch conditions, and weather on the day typically drive outcomes more than pre-match sentiment in T20 formats. Comparable fixtures between mid-table sides in previous Hundred seasons have resolved across the full range of outcomes, suggesting material uncertainty exists regardless of current market pricing.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates in the weeks preceding 27 July, particularly regarding overseas players' availability and any late withdrawals. Southern Brave's recent domestic form and MI London's performance in warm-up matches will provide concrete data closer to the fixture. Pitch reports from the venue on match day—typically published by ESPNcricinfo and local ground staff—often shift expectations materially in T20 cricket. Weather forecasts for the evening should also be tracked, as rain interruptions or damp conditions can favour particular playing styles. The settlement window closes at 17:30 UTC on 3 August, allowing time for official result confirmation.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $304K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI London. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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