Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit | 100% |
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 55% |
| The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Sunrisers Leeds and London Spirit meet at Headingley with the match coming straight after a recent women’s contest between the same sides at the venue, where Sunrisers won by five wickets with two balls to spare. That result reinforced a broader pattern in these match-ups: the sides have often played tight, chaseable games, and recent scorelines in The Hundred suggest that a modest first-innings total can still be under pressure if the surface stays true. ESPN’s 2026 fixture page also shows Sunrisers Leeds and London Spirit entering this game with very recent head-to-head data in the competition, including Sunrisers’ win by eight wickets in 2025 and London Spirit’s 13-run victory in an earlier meeting, which points to a rivalry that can swing on one or two batting bursts rather than sustained dominance.[1][2][6][7]
For traders, the most relevant catalysts are team news, the toss, and whether either side arrives with a settled top order and full bowling options. London Spirit’s recent results have been patchier in the competition, while Sunrisers Leeds have had enough batting firepower to stay competitive, so any late change to key batters or death bowlers would matter more than usual.[5][7][9] Headingley can also amplify the value of a good chase if conditions are favourable, and the earlier women’s match already showed that the venue can support a successful pursuit even after a middling total.[1][3] With no indication from the supplied reports of a major injury crisis or coaching upheaval, the probability has been shaped more by pre-match expectations and recent head-to-head outcomes than by a clearly signalled one-sided mismatch.[1][2][7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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