Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Trent Rockets Women and London Spirit Women are scheduled to meet in The Hundred, with the market implying a 0% chance of a Rockets win despite the sides having already shown they can beat each other in this competition. The cleanest comparable read is that this is a short-format fixture where single-innings volatility matters: Trent Rockets have previously beaten London Spirit by 31 runs in 2026[1], while earlier head-to-head meetings in the women’s Hundred have also swung on one team producing a decisive batting or bowling burst[6].
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed XIs, especially overseas availability and any late workload management after the men’s and women’s domestic calendar. London Spirit have relied on impact from players such as Grace Harris, Marie Kelly and Nadine de Klerk in recent Hundred coverage, while Trent Rockets’ results have been shaped by whether senior all-round options are in the side and firing[4][6]. Because this market settles on the published result at ESPNcricinfo, a rain-shortened game, DLS outcome, or any on-field ruling that produces a declared winner will still count as an ordinary win, so late weather updates and any team news before the toss remain relevant.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $118K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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