ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The West Indies and New Zealand women's cricket teams are scheduled to meet on 13 June 2026 in the ICC T20 World Cup. The match will determine progression in the tournament's group stage, with both sides competing for one of the limited knockout berths. New Zealand enters as the higher-ranked side in the ICC T20I standings and has won three of their last five bilateral T20 series against West Indies since 2022. West Indies, however, have shown improved consistency under their current coaching setup, reaching the T20 World Cup semi-final in 2024 and winning their most recent home series against England in early 2025.

The 100% implied probability reflects the market's certainty that the match will occur as scheduled. Historical T20 World Cup cancellations or forfeits remain exceptionally rare; no women's T20 World Cup match has been abandoned or forfeited in the tournament's history. Weather disruption in June in the scheduled venue carries minimal risk given typical conditions, and both boards have confirmed squad availability. The only material catalyst that would alter the settlement outcome would be a last-minute injury to a key player forcing a team withdrawal—an event with negligible precedent at this tournament level.

Traders should monitor team announcements in the fortnight before the match for any squad changes or coaching adjustments. New Zealand's recent reliance on their opening pair and West Indies' bowling depth will be critical to watch in warm-up matches. Any late injury to either captain or primary all-rounder could shift match dynamics, though would not affect whether the match itself takes place.

Methodology

This page reviews ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.