Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 0% 100 Thieves | 100% GenOne |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs GenOne (+9.5) | 0% 100 Thieves | 100% GenOne |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 100% 100 Thieves | 0% GenOne |
| Match Winner | 0% GenOne | 100% 100 Thieves |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
GenOne are due to meet 100 Thieves in a best-of-three quarter-final at CCT Europe Series #4, with the market currently pricing a full upset as highly unlikely. The form picture points towards 100 Thieves: Strafe lists them at 4-1 in their last five, compared with GenOne’s 3-2, and also places 100 Thieves much higher in its CS2 rankings, #28 versus GenOne at #84.[1]
That gap is broadly consistent with the wider pre-match read. Bo3.gg notes 100 Thieves have an 82% win rate over the last month and are shaping vetoes around strong Inferno play, while GenOne’s recent strength is more map-specific, with Dust2 highlighted as a clear positive and Ancient as a weaker pick.[2] Comparable cases in playoff CS2 often hinge less on raw team name and more on whether the underdog can force its preferred maps; a 0% crowd-implied price usually reflects both ranking gap and a belief that the veto leaves little room for a boil-over.[1][2]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: line-up confirmation, any last-minute schedule changes, and the veto order. If either side alters a starter or the match is delayed, that can materially change the read on a short series, especially where map pools are narrow.[2] Current listings show the match as scheduled for 20 June, and there is no indication in the available sources of a cancellation or long postponement, so the market is being driven chiefly by pre-match form and map dynamics rather than event uncertainty.[3][7]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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