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Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

How the sports market is pricing "Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $67K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Grêmio Esports (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Grêmio Esports faced Procyon Gaming in a best-of-three on the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, and the match has already been completed, with Grêmio winning 2-1. Sofascore and Strafe both record the result as a full BO3 finish on 9 August 2026, which means the market’s live 0% YES price is now anchored to an event outcome rather than an unresolved fixture.[1][14]

For traders, the cleanest form guide came into this match from a modest sample of recent tournament results rather than deep head-to-head history. Polymarket’s event blurb said Grêmio entered after losses to Keyd Stars and BESTIA, but with a 2-1 win over paiN Academy, while Procyon arrived off a 2-0 over ODDIK Academy after defeats to METANOIA Wolves and Imperial.[4] In that frame, a near-even pre-match market was plausible, but once the series was played the only live catalyst left for settlement was confirmation that the BO3 had fully concluded, not a cancellation or technical no-contest.[1][4]

The practical settlement watchpoint is whether the result was officially recorded as a completed match before the seven-day backstop, because the rules convert cancelled, tied, or heavily delayed contests to 50-50. Tournament listings show BetBoom Storm’s group stage running from 3 to 11 August, with the Grêmio–Procyon fixture scheduled inside that window and later reflected as finished on scoreboards, reducing the scope for any alternative settlement path.[3][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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