Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5) | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% Infinite |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Infinite | 100% ex-RUBY |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Infinite | 100% ex-RUBY |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-9.5) vs Infinite (+9.5) | 0% ex-RUBY | 100% Infinite |
Market context
Infinite and ex-RUBY meet in a CCT Europe Series #4 playoffs best-of-three, with the market sitting at **0% YES** even though the teams are close in the rankings and the match was listed as a Round of 16 fixture. Dust2.us had Infinite at **world rank 60** and ex-RUBY at **65**, which is the sort of narrow gap that usually implies a competitive series rather than a lopsided one.[1]
That said, a zero price can reflect market expectations about schedule risk, lineup uncertainty, or a result already being effectively priced in elsewhere rather than a pure read on team strength. Comparable CCT fixtures often hinge on late bracket changes, stand-ins, or quiet roster churn; without confirmed map vetoes or final line-ups, a small ranking edge is not enough to make the match straightforward to model.[1][2]
For traders, the key catalysts are any last-minute organiser updates, player-status confirmations, and whether either side has a patched roster or travel issue before the settlement window closes. GosuGamers also lists the match as a live best-of-three on 19 June, which supports the event being scheduled to go ahead, but the final outcome still depends on the match actually starting and finishing without a walkover or delay beyond the market rules.[3]
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Euro… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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