Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| Match Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: KSM (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5) | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KUUSAMO.gg’s Group D elimination match against Passion Academy was scheduled as a best-of-three in United21, and the live listings show it has already been played on 22 June with a 2:1 result in KUUSAMO.gg’s favour.[1][5] That matters for a market currently priced at 0% YES: if the event is indeed complete and the winner is confirmed, the settlement path should now be straightforward rather than dependent on future play.
The more useful frame is recent form and tier context. In United21 Season 48, KUUSAMO.gg finished Group D unbeaten at 2-0, with a positive map differential, which points to a team that has previously handled this level of opposition cleanly.[2] By contrast, the pre-match ranking snapshot on the fixture page had Passion Academy ahead of KUUSAMO.gg in the wider world ranking list, 107th to 142nd, so the market was dealing with a live underdog-versus-favourite tension rather than a pure mismatch.[1]
For traders, the key catalyst is not team news but whether the result is formally recorded before the settlement window closes, because the rules state that a non-played match, tie, or a delay beyond seven days without a winner would resolve 50-50. The most relevant checks are the tournament bracket page and any match-page score confirmation; both GosuGamers and Sofascore list the fixture as a 22 June best-of-three, which is the strongest available signal that the deciding factor should be official score recognition rather than last-minute schedule drift.[1][5]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) … on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →