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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B

"Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Atputies (+1.5) 76% Match Winner 67% Map 1 Winner 62% Map 2 Winner 60% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $16K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Atputies (+1.5)76%
Match Winner67%
Map 1 Winner62%
Map 2 Winner60%
O/U 2.5 Games50%

Market context

The Counter-Strike BO3 between Liquid and Atputies is priced with Liquid as a clear favourite, and the current 62% crowd-implied probability broadly fits that shape. Recent form data points the same way: Liquid arrive off a run that includes wins over Vitality and G2, while Atputies are described as winless across the recent month and carrying four losses in five matches into the event.[1][2]

The main historical frame is a mismatch in experience rather than a rich head-to-head record, because the teams have no recent meetings on record and this appears to be their first direct matchup.[1][4][8] That matters in BO3 markets because underdogs usually need either a strong map veto or a messy series to pull the price away from the favourite; Liquid’s better recent map profile on Mirage and Atputies’ reported fragility on deciders such as Ancient make a straight 2-0 or 2-1 Liquid result the cleaner read from the available stats.[1][4]

The trader catalysts are straightforward: final roster confirmation, any late substitution or illness news, and the veto order, especially whether Atputies can force Liquid off comfortable starting maps.[1][2] The market also carries standard settlement risk from event logistics, because if the match is postponed beyond seven days without a winner, or not played at all, it resolves 50-50 rather than to either side.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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