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Counter-Strike: ex-Young Ninjas vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Sports snapshot for "Counter-Strike: ex-Young Ninjas vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $322K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: ex-Young Ninjas vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Young Ninjas (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Young Ninjas (-9.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: ex-Young Ninjas (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Young Ninjas (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+6.5)0%

Market context

ex-Young Ninjas’ match against Inner Circle Academy in the CCT Europe Series #6 group stage has already been played, with ex-Young Ninjas winning 2-1 according to live score listings and match pages.[2][4] That result makes the current crowd-implied 0% YES position look disconnected from the actual event outcome rather than from pre-match uncertainty.[2][4]

Before the series, the most useful read-through was map veto and roster stability. ex-Young Ninjas came into the event after their parent Young Ninjas lineup split on 20 July, which added uncertainty around continuity, while Inner Circle Academy’s recent form had been uneven, including a 1-4 run in their last five matches and a weaker Nuke profile.[1][5] At the same time, ex-Young Ninjas showed clear veto strengths on Nuke and a preference to steer away from Inferno, Ancient and Cache, which mattered in a BO3 where one awkward map can swing a decider.[1]

For traders watching the settlement mechanics, the main catalysts were straightforward: whether the scheduled BO3 started on time, whether the line-ups held, and whether any late cancellation or long delay triggered a 50-50 settlement instead of a winner.[1][2] The current match listings show the game listed and completed on 31 July, so the decisive factor for resolution should be the recorded match result rather than any later schedule risk.[2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: ex-Young Ninjas vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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