When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports …

Name: Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Start: 2026-07-14T15:22:50.285Z
End: 2026-07-15T17:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?	100%
Ends in Daytime	90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	90%
Game 2 Winner	84%
Match Winner	70%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?	50%
O/U 2.5 Games	49%
Any Player Rampage	48%
Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)	48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	10%
Any Player Rampage	10%
First Blood in Game 1?	10%
Any Player Ultra Kill	1%
Game 1 Winner	0%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)	0%

Market context

Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Aurora and Rune Eaters in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 15 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?: Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?: Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

David ParkSports Data Analystand

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

Trade Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World … on Sport Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World … on Sport Prediction

Related live markets

World Cup Winner

England vs. Argentina - More Markets

England vs. Argentina - Exact Score

England vs. Argentina

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival