Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 74% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 26% |
| Match Winner | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Enjoy (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Enjoy and Yakult Brothers meet in a best-of-three elimination match in Group C, with the market currently pricing Enjoy at 0% despite the fixture being live on the official schedule. The clearest recent form signal is that both sides arrive after opening losses: Enjoy were beaten 2-0 by GLYPH, while Yakult Brothers also lost 2-0 to Zero Tenacity, leaving this as a pressure match rather than a straightforward ranking contest.[8][14][15]
The wider frame still leans against a strong Enjoy case. Recent listings place Enjoy around the low-20s to mid-30s globally, but their results have been uneven, and one analytics page notes substantial roster churn over the past month alongside four defeats in five matches.[2][13] Yakult Brothers are described as a newer Chinese squad with mixed June results, yet they have shown enough structure to stay competitive in qualifier-level and second-tier events, so their price is more consistent with a team whose baseline is slightly above a straight coin flip.[2][13]
For traders, the key catalysts are confirmation of line-ups, any last-minute scheduling changes, and whether the series starts on time within the Group C window. The event timetable places Group C elimination matches on 1 August at 11:00 GMT, and the market only resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, ends level, or drifts more than seven days past schedule without a winner.[15] In practice, that makes live status and official bracket updates more important than pre-match chatter, because a delayed or abandoned BO3 changes settlement as much as the result itself.[1][15]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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