Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Flame Team face 4ikibamboni in a Dota 2 European Pro League Group B best-of-three match scheduled for 15 June at 05:00 ET, with the settlement window closing on 17 June at 21:30 UTC. The 0% crowd probability reflects substantial uncertainty around both teams' current competitive standing and recent roster stability within the European regional circuit.
Flame Team's recent form has been inconsistent, with the squad experiencing mid-season adjustments that have affected their map pool execution and team cohesion. 4ikibamboni, conversely, have shown incremental improvement in their last three Group B fixtures, though they remain vulnerable to teams with stronger mid-game rotations. Historical precedent in European Dota suggests that teams with fresh roster changes—particularly those involving support or carry position swaps—tend to underperform in early group stages, a factor that may apply to whichever side has made recent personnel moves. The 0% reading likely reflects traders' difficulty in assessing which team's recent changes have been more disruptive.
Traders should monitor official EPL announcements for any last-minute roster confirmations or stand-in declarations, particularly given the early morning ET scheduling which sometimes triggers logistical complications in European tournaments. The settlement window's two-day buffer beyond the scheduled date provides coverage for minor delays, but any postponement beyond 16 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent Dota 2 coverage from esports journalists tracking the EPL has emphasised coaching staff involvement in pre-match preparation; any public statements about tactical adjustments from either team's coaching line in the 48 hours before the match could signal confidence levels worth tracking.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European P… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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