Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Liquid face Tundra Esports in a single-elimination group-stage match at the BLAST Slam on 26 May, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The fixture represents a critical early test for both rosters in what is positioned as a high-stakes regional qualifier.
The 0% implied probability reflects either a technical issue with the market or an assumption of match cancellation rather than genuine confidence in either team's chances. Historical precedent suggests such extreme probabilities in esports prediction markets often correlate with scheduling uncertainty, roster availability disputes, or administrative delays rather than genuine competitive imbalance. BLAST Slam matches have occasionally been postponed or rescheduled due to visa complications or equipment failures, and the seven-day cancellation window built into this market's resolution criteria acknowledges that risk.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any roster changes or coaching adjustments announced before the 1:20 PM ET start time. Recent form data—including both teams' performances in qualifying rounds and online qualifiers—will be critical, as will confirmation of player availability. Tundra Esports' recent tournament placements and Team Liquid's current lineup composition relative to their last major international appearance should inform reassessment of the probability away from the current extreme. Any announcement of stand-in players, technical issues with the broadcast infrastructure, or last-minute scheduling conflicts would warrant immediate market recalibration.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST … on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →