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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Ends in Daytime 90% First Blood in Game 2? 51% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Any Player Ultra Kill 50% Volume: $820K Liquidity: $201K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner48%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

PARIVISION and Team Spirit face off in a best-of-two Group C clash at the Esports World Cup 2026 in Riyadh, scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on 12 July. The 0% crowd-implied probability for additional markets reflects Team Spirit’s overwhelming dominance in recent head-to-heads, including a 1-0 victory at BLAST SLAM VII just weeks prior in May [2]. Strafe users similarly back Spirit with nearly 69% of votes, while bookmakers estimate PARIVISION’s win chance at only 38% against Spirit’s 25% edge in implied odds, suggesting a likely one-sided contest where extra markets rarely trigger [1][8].

Traders should monitor pre-match roster announcements for PARIVISION, as any late coaching changes or key absences could shift the probability of secondary outcomes like map-specific handicaps or total game counts. Team Spirit’s current form remains stable with no reported injuries, but PARIVISION’s lower-bracket drop at BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 indicates vulnerability under pressure [3]. The settlement window closes at 15:10 UTC on 12 July, so any live delays or format adjustments announced by the Esports World Cup organisers will directly impact market settlement [4]. Watch for official team sheets released via the tournament’s Discord or Strafe match page, as these are the primary catalysts for probability shifts in real time [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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