Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ends in Daytime | 90% |
| Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) | 88% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
Market context
PuckChamp’s group-stage meeting with Zero Tenacity in EPL Masters has already begun, and the live state matters for any market still open before the settlement window closes. Sofascore and other live listings show the series started at 09:00 UTC on 30 July, which aligns with the market’s scheduled opening time and means a result should normally be available unless the match is abandoned or reclassified.[1][2]
The pre-match case for reading the 0% YES price as a genuine longshot was mixed rather than impossible. DLTV noted PuckChamp had higher ranking support but also a roster change in the past month, with gotthejuice replacing yuragi, and poor recent form with three defeats in their last five.[8] Zero Tenacity also had a changed lineup, with infernal replacing MikSa`, but came in with three wins from five and stronger short-term momentum, while Strafe’s snapshot had them narrowly higher in the world rankings and PuckChamp was only 1-4 over the last five by that feed.[3][8]
For traders, the key catalysts are whether the completed scoreline is formally posted, whether the live series reaches a clean BO3 finish, and whether any broadcast or admin note indicates a default, delay or replay. Live match trackers currently show the series in progress rather than cancelled, which lowers the relevance of the 50-50 fallback unless official tournament control later says the game was not completed.[1][5] The main schedule dependency is simple: if the result is not finalised within seven days of the scheduled date, the market rules switch away from a normal team winner settlement.[2]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Maste… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →