Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Team Spirit | 0% Enjoy |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Team Spirit and Enjoy are set to clash in the upper-bracket quarterfinal of The International Europe Closed Qualifier, a Best of 3 match scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 23 June 2026. The crowd-implied probability of 100% YES for Team Spirit reflects their overwhelming historical dominance and current form, yet traders must remember that even elite squads can falter when facing unexpected tactical shifts or internal disruptions.
Historically, 100% market confidence in esports BO3s has rarely held when the lower-ranked opponent possesses recent momentum or a key roster change. For instance, in the 2025 Road to TI playoffs, OG’s clean 2-0 sweep over Team Spirit [3] shattered similar certainty, proving that world ranking gaps (Spirit at 7, Enjoy at 37 [2]) do not guarantee outcomes when match-day conditions vary. Such cases frame this probability as fragile, not absolute.
Traders should monitor pre-match lineups, coaching announcements, and any last-minute absences, as these catalysts often alter match dynamics. Recent reports note Team Spirit’s resilience, having lost only two games across an entire tournament despite facing massive leads [5], but no official update confirms Enjoy’s roster stability. Watch Sofascore [1] and GosuGamers [2] for live confirmations before the settlement window closes on 23 June 2026.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy (BO3) - The Internation… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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