Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Execration’s lower-bracket meeting with Mentality Monster is a best-of-three elimination match, and the market’s 10% implied yes price reflects how one-sided the pre-match read has been. Public listings put Execration around the mid-40s to high-40s in regional/world rankings, while Mentality Monster is closer to the mid-50s or unranked, but the shorter format leaves room for upset variance if Execration start slowly or drop the opening draft. Comparable qualifier spots often hinge less on overall pedigree than on current execution, and here both teams arrive with limited recent head-to-head context, which makes map-one draft strength more important than long-run reputation. [1][2][3][5]

Recent form still points to Execration as the more established side: one preview cites a 60% win rate over the last month and a recent 2-0 over Carstensz, while another notes Mentality Monster have strung together back-to-back wins, including clean 2-0s over Direborn and InterActive Philippines. That mix explains why the market is not at a near-certain price despite Execration being favoured by most public previews and vote splits, because Mentality Monster have already shown they can close out series in this bracket path. [1][2]

The main trader watchpoints are line-up confirmation, match timing, and whether the playoff bracket advances cleanly, since the market only settles 50-50 if the match is not played, tied, or delayed beyond seven days. Both teams were listed with full starting rosters, and the match was scheduled for 22 June at 02:00 UTC, so any reschedule or dispute over completion before the settlement window closes matters more than minor pre-series odds movement. [1][2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.