Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

Yellow Submarine’s group-stage meeting with Execration is scheduled as a best-of-three at the Games of the Future, with multiple fixtures listing a 05:00 UTC start on 31 July.[1][13] The market’s 100% YES pricing is only sensible if the match is expected to be played and completed on time; if it slips into a postponement or cancellation, the settlement rules can still force a 50-50 result.

On recent form, Yellow Submarine look the stronger side on paper: one match listing gives them a 61% win rate over the last three months, with a 4.79 KDA and 19 wins from 31 maps, while Execration’s recent record shown in the same database is much thinner and includes a 0-2 loss to REKONIX.[2] Comparable cases in this event suggest that prices can move quickly once live line-ups are confirmed, and the market should be read with caution if one side is using a stand-in or arrives with a changed draft core.[7][15]

The main catalysts are simple: whether both teams field the listed rosters, whether the series actually begins at the scheduled time, and whether any late schedule reshuffle affects the group slate.[2][6][14] A bookmaker preview has Yellow Submarine as a modest favourite, roughly in line with the crowd view, which suggests the bigger edge for traders is not the base matchup but any announcement on substitutions, delays, or venue-side timing changes before the series starts.[12][20]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.