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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 2 Winner 97% Ends in Daytime 91% O/U 2.5 Games 53% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $278K Liquidity: $377K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner97%
Ends in Daytime91%
O/U 2.5 Games53%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)48%
Match Winner47%
Any Player Rampage26%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity face Level UP in a best-of-three at the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, with the market currently pricing an outright Zero Tenacity win at **0% YES** despite the teams being closely matched in public previews. Bookmakers and prediction sites are split: one feed shows Zero Tenacity around 1.92 to win, while another has Level UP as the narrower favourite, and Strafe users have leaned towards Level UP by 56.1% to 43.9%.[2][3][1]

The historical frame points in opposite directions. Zero Tenacity have the stronger head-to-head record, with reports of either five wins from five or six wins from eight across recent meetings, plus a map edge that suggests they have repeatedly found answers in this pairing.[2][4] At the same time, Level UP are rated higher in world rankings on some feeds and have kept a more stable roster over a longer period, which is a common reason markets can drift towards them in short series even when direct form favours the other side.[6][4]

For traders, the main catalysts are roster and scheduling confirmation rather than the competition itself. Both teams were listed for Group B on the day, and one preview noted no major roster changes or patch shifts had altered preparation, so any last-minute stand-ins, captain swaps, or match timing changes would matter disproportionately in a 0% market.[4] Recent form also cuts both ways: Zero Tenacity have put together several wins in their last five but have also shown vulnerability in upsets, while Level UP’s recent results have been less consistent against stronger opposition.[2][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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