Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Colombia (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Costa Rica (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Costa Rica (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Colombia and Costa Rica will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 7:00 PM ET. The match carries significance for both squads as preparation for upcoming Copa América and World Cup qualifying windows. Colombia, ranked 16th globally, arrives with mixed recent form—three wins and two draws across their last five outings, though they suffered a 2–1 loss to Paraguay in March. Costa Rica, positioned 31st, has struggled more visibly, winning just one of their past five fixtures and conceding eight goals in that span. Colombian manager Néstor Lorenzo has maintained squad continuity despite injuries to key players, whilst Costa Rica's coaching situation remains unsettled following inconsistent results in qualifying.
The 100% implied probability reflects the market's assessment that additional betting markets on this fixture will materialise before settlement. Historical precedent suggests friendlies between CONMEBOL and CONCACAF sides routinely attract expanded market offerings—particularly when scheduled during international windows and involving nations with established betting audiences. Colombia's higher ranking and stronger recent trajectory have typically translated into deeper liquidity and more granular market options in comparable fixtures.
Traders should monitor squad announcements through late May, as both federations typically confirm final rosters within a week of kickoff. Recent reporting from ESPN Deportes indicates potential absences for Colombia due to club commitments in European leagues, which could influence market depth. Costa Rica's availability of key defensive players will similarly shape how sportsbooks structure secondary markets around goals, corners, and card counts.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $379K.
Methodology
We track Colombia vs. Costa Rica - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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