Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Qatar (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Republic of Ireland (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Republic of Ireland (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qatar (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Ireland will host Qatar in a FIFA International Friendly on 28 May at 2:45 PM ET. The fixture sits outside any competitive window, offering both nations preparation time ahead of summer tournaments and qualifying campaigns. Qatar's participation in friendlies against European opposition has become routine since their 2022 World Cup campaign, whilst Ireland continue to cycle through squad rotation under manager Heimir Hallgrímsson, who took charge in September 2023 following Stephen Kenny's departure.
The 0% implied probability reflects the absence of secondary markets or trading activity rather than certainty about the outcome. Friendly matches between nations of differing competitive standing—Ireland ranked 37th, Qatar 50th in the latest FIFA rankings—routinely attract minimal market liquidity. Historical precedent shows that friendlies between lower-ranked sides, particularly outside major tournament windows, generate sparse prediction market engagement; traders typically concentrate capital on competitive fixtures with higher stakes and clearer narrative arcs.
Traders should monitor squad announcements in early May, as both nations typically name provisional squads 10–14 days before friendlies. Hallgrímsson's selection decisions will signal Ireland's tactical priorities; recent absences of key players through injury or club commitments have shaped recent lineups. Qatar's availability of domestic-based players versus those competing in European leagues will affect their competitive readiness. Venue confirmation and any late fixture changes remain possible, though unlikely given the scheduled date. The friendly's timing—between domestic seasons and before summer competitions—may influence which players each federation prioritises for selection.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $198K.
Methodology
This page reviews Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar - More Markets on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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