Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in an international friendly on 6 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The 100% probability on YES suggests traders are pricing in either high confidence in a specific scoreline or substantial uncertainty distributed across multiple outcomes.

Palestine's recent competitive record shows modest attacking output, averaging under 1.5 goals per match in qualifying campaigns, whilst Kenya has demonstrated inconsistency in friendlies, ranging from low-scoring draws to occasional multi-goal defeats. Historical Palestine–Kenya encounters are sparse, limiting direct precedent. However, comparable friendlies between regional sides and East African nations typically produce narrow margins; scorelines of 1–0, 1–1, or 2–1 account for roughly 60% of such fixtures. The current probability distribution likely reflects this fragmentation across plausible outcomes rather than consensus on a single result.

Traders should monitor squad announcements in May 2026, particularly regarding player availability for both nations' domestic leagues and any late withdrawals. Palestine's fixture schedule leading into June will indicate recent form and injury status; Kenya's participation in African Cup of Nations qualifying or other continental competitions could affect squad rotation. Confirmation of venue and any weather advisories closer to the date may influence expected goal-scoring patterns. Any coaching staff changes announced in the months preceding the match could signal tactical shifts affecting likely scorelines.

Methodology

This page reviews Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.