Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Türkiye (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| North Macedonia (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Türkiye (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| North Macedonia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Türkiye will host North Macedonia in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 1:30 PM ET, with additional betting markets expected to open around the fixture. The 100% crowd probability suggests near-certainty that supplementary markets—likely on goals, corners, cards, or player performance—will be offered before or during the match window.
Historical precedent for friendly fixtures between these nations offers limited direct comparison; the sides have met only twice in competitive qualifying, with Türkiye winning both encounters. However, the settlement window closing at 17:30 UTC on match day indicates markets will remain active through kickoff and potentially into the second half, a standard pattern for friendlies where late team news and injury confirmations shift odds significantly. Türkiye's recent Nations League campaign saw mixed results under manager Vincenzo Montella, whilst North Macedonia has struggled to maintain consistency at international level. The probability reflects confidence that market operators will indeed expand offerings, rather than certainty about any sporting outcome.
Traders should monitor official team sheets released 24–48 hours before kickoff, as Türkiye often rotates squad depth in friendlies ahead of competitive windows. Recent reporting from Turkish football correspondents has flagged potential absences among key attacking players due to club fixture congestion. North Macedonia's squad depth limitations mean their available personnel are more predictable. Any late withdrawal announcements or coaching tactical shifts could prompt repricing of subsidiary markets once they launch. The settlement mechanism will depend on which specific markets materialise; operators typically confirm available options 72 hours prior.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $331K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Türkiye vs. North Macedonia - More Markets on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →