Colombia vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

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Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group K match between Colombia and DR Congo is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET on 23 June 2026 at Estadio Chivas in Guadalajara, Mexico, with the market focusing solely on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation. Colombia has demonstrated strong offensive form, securing a 3-1 victory against Uzbekistan and a 2-0 win over Jordan in recent fixtures, while DR Congo remains defensively cautious, having drawn 1-1 with Portugal and 0-0 with Denmark in their last two matches[1]. The current crowd-implied probability of 9% for a specific exact score reflects the rarity of precise outcomes in World Cup group stages, where historical data shows that most matches end in scores like 1-0, 2-1, or 1-1, making any single exact score an outlier event comparable to low-probability historical precedents in similar tournaments[2].

Traders should monitor the official line-up announcements released one hour before kickoff, as key absences could drastically alter scoring dynamics; Colombia’s Juan Camilo Hernandez and DR Congo’s Cedric Bakambu, both Real Betis teammates, are expected to face each other, potentially influencing the match’s intensity and goal count[9]. Additionally, the weather conditions in Guadalajara and any late tactical shifts by coaches, such as Colombia’s recent 3-1 win suggesting a high-scoring approach versus DR Congo’s 0-0 draw indicating defensive resilience, will be critical catalysts for the final score outcome[1]. The settlement window closes at 02:00:00Z on 24 June 2026, ensuring the market resolves based on the regulation-time result only, excluding extra time or penalty shoot-outs[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.