Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Team to Take First Corner | 100% Germany | 0% Curaçao |
| Curaçao Corners: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 100% Odd | 0% Even |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Germany and Curaçao will meet in a World Cup group-stage fixture on 14 June 2026, with the match scheduled for 13:00 ET. The corners market is currently priced at 100% probability for "yes," suggesting the crowd expects the total corner count to exceed a threshold—likely 8–10 corners based on standard World Cup corner distributions.
Germany's recent qualifying campaign under Julian Nagelsmann showed a side comfortable pressing high and generating set-piece opportunities; their March 2024 friendlies against France and the Netherlands produced 6 and 7 corners respectively, though both were against top-tier opposition. Curaçao qualified for their first World Cup in 2022 and have since struggled in CONCACAF fixtures, conceding multiple corners in most competitive matches. Historical precedent matters here: in the 2022 World Cup, 73% of matches exceeded 8 corners, and Germany's group-stage games that cycle typically saw 9–11 corners when facing lower-ranked sides. The 100% crowd probability reflects confidence that this disparity will produce corner volume.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly any late injuries to Germany's midfield or defensive line, which could alter pressing intensity. Curaçao's squad depth in midfield will also influence their ability to retain possession and reduce Germany's attacking phases. Nagelsmann's tactical adjustments in warm-up friendlies—scheduled for early June—will signal whether Germany intends a high-tempo approach. Weather conditions at the venue on match day, typically reported by FIFA media 48 hours before kick-off, can affect ball movement and corner frequency.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $279K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Germany vs. Curaçao - Total Corners on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →