Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Jordan 2 - 0 Algeria | 2% YES | 98% NO |
Market context
Jordan meet Algeria in a World Cup group match, and the exact-score market’s 7% implied probability for **YES** points to a fairly wide set of plausible outcomes rather than a strong lean to one named scoreline. That is consistent with the two teams’ recent profiles: Jordan have been involved in a run of higher-scoring results, while Algeria have been more controlled but still dangerous, which makes common scores such as 0-1, 0-2, 1-1 or 1-2 more relevant than a very specific exact result.[1][3]
The recent form book gives traders the clearest frame for reading that price. Jordan lost 1-3 to Austria and 0-2 to Colombia, and also drew 2-2 with Nigeria and Costa Rica in earlier friendlies, suggesting both volatility and defensive gaps.[3] Algeria, by contrast, have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, scoring 12 and conceding two across that stretch, including a 4-0 win over Bolivia and a 1-0 win over the Netherlands.[1] With no confirmed injuries, suspensions or projected XIs reported ahead of kick-off, the main catalysts are late team-sheet news and any shift in market expectation around Algeria’s attacking options under Vladimir Petković.[1]
The match is scheduled for 23 June at 03:00 GMT, with the venue listed as Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, so traders should watch for any pre-match changes tied to travel, line-up rotation or late fitness calls.[1][4] FOX Sports has the live match market already posted, with Algeria favoured on the moneyline and the total set around 2.5 goals, which reinforces the idea that an exact-score hit needs a reasonably specific game state rather than just a one-goal margin.[2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $165K.
Methodology
We track Jordan vs. Algeria - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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