Sweden vs. Tunisia - Halftime Result

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Sweden and Tunisia meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June at 10:00 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the outcome after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: Sweden victory, draw, or Tunisia victory. The 0% implied probability for a Sweden halftime win reflects current market sentiment, though this reflects the full range of possible first-half scenarios rather than an assessment of Sweden's capability to score first.

Historical precedent suggests early goals in World Cup group matches occur at modest frequency. Across the 2022 tournament, approximately 28% of matches saw the eventual winner score before half-time, whilst 19% ended level at the interval. Sweden's recent qualifying campaign under manager Jon Dahl Tomasson showed inconsistent attacking rhythm, with the team averaging 1.2 goals per match across ten qualifiers. Tunisia, managed by Jalel Kadri, has demonstrated defensive solidity in African Cup of Nations qualification but limited offensive potency, scoring just 0.8 goals per match in their last competitive window.

Traders should monitor team news releases through early June regarding injury status for Sweden's key attacking players—particularly any absences from their forward line—and confirmation of Tunisia's defensive personnel. Tomasson's tactical approach in warm-up friendlies will signal whether Sweden intends an aggressive early approach or a controlled build-up. Tunisia's recent form in June 2026 warm-up matches will indicate whether Kadri has adjusted the team's defensive shape to counter Sweden's width-based play. Fixture scheduling and travel logistics, typically announced by FIFA in May, may affect either team's preparation intensity heading into their opening match.

Methodology

This page reviews Sweden vs. Tunisia - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.