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ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova

How the sports market is pricing "ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Completed Match 40% ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova 2% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $34K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
40% 60% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
40% 60% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match40%
ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova2%

Market context

Ava Catanzarite and Martina Okalova are due to meet in the qualifying event at Landisville’s W100, a hard-court ITF stop with the first qualifying day listed as 3 August and the main draw beginning on 4 August.[7][13] The market’s 2% price on Ava implies she is a clear outsider, which is consistent with how qualifying matches at this level are often priced when one player has stronger recent results, more tour-level experience, or a better ranking profile, even before the match is formally played.[13][14]

Landisville has produced a mix of straightforward and extended finals in recent years, including a 2025 title decided 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 and a 2024 edition that was not played, so traders should treat schedule risk and late withdrawals as real variables in this event.[11] The tournament itself is a 32-player qualifying draw on outdoor hard courts, which tends to favour players arriving with recent hard-court match sharpness rather than those still building rhythm.[13]

The main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the qualifying round goes ahead on time, the published order of play, and any late injury or withdrawal news before the scheduled start.[13] ITF tournament listings show Landisville running from 3–9 August, but lower-tier events can still shift with weather, court scheduling, or player pull-outs, which is why a low-probability position can move sharply if either entrant is scratched or the match is delayed beyond the market’s settlement window.[7][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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