Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
86% | 14% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
86% | 14% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 86% |
| Game 1 Winner | 77% |
| Game 2 Winner | 75% |
| Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 62% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 55% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 54% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 52% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 52% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 52% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 48% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 43% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 41% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 38% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 38% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 38% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 38% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 37% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 37% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 33% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
Anyone’s Legend face EDward Gaming in a best-of-three LPL Group Ascend match, and the market’s 77% implied chance for Anyone’s Legend sits in line with the recent head-to-head and form picture. The sides last met on 30 May, when Anyone’s Legend won 3-0 in the LPL playoffs, a result that also followed their stronger recent run of results in comparison with EDward Gaming’s more uneven season trend.[1][11][3] Comparable cases matter here because short-format League of Legends markets often price heavily towards the team that has already shown a clear series edge in the same patch cycle, especially when the previous meeting was a clean sweep rather than a narrow win.[3][14]
For traders, the main catalysts are roster confirmation, start-time changes and any schedule disruption within the match window. Public match listings show both teams’ expected starters, with Anyone’s Legend fielding Flandre, Tarzan, Shanks, Hope and Kael, while EDward Gaming’s listed line-up includes Zdz, Xiaohao, Angel, Leave and Parukia.[3][13] Recent reporting also points to Anyone’s Legend entering the group phase after strong wins over top opposition, whereas EDward Gaming were beaten by Bilibili Gaming and have shown more volatility in series results, which keeps the favourite tag justified but not dominant.[5][3] If the fixture slips beyond the settlement window or is not completed, the market rules move it away from a straight winner resolution, so any official broadcast or schedule update is material.[4]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Gr… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →