LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers have already secured a 1–0 victory over BNK FEARX in their KeSPA Cup 2026 Group Stage Best-of-1 match, which concluded on 20 July with the scoreline 1–0 in favour of the former [1][2]. The market’s 100% YES probability reflects this completed result, as the outcome is no longer uncertain but historically fixed.

In prediction markets, 100% probabilities typically emerge only after an event has concluded and the result is officially recorded, mirroring past cases where live-scored esports matches resolved instantly once the final score was confirmed by tournament organisers. Unlike pre-match markets where form or coaching changes drive odds, this instance is anchored in a settled fact: the match was played, completed, and won by DN SOOPers, eliminating any catalyst for reversal unless a formal disqualification occurs post-result.

Traders should monitor official KeSPA Cup announcements for any retroactive disqualifications or forfeiture rulings that could alter the settlement, though no such notices have been issued as of now [1]. The settlement window closes on 20 July 2026 at 13:10 UTC, aligning with the match’s conclusion time, and no further schedule dependencies exist since the event is complete. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner would trigger a 50–50 resolution, but this condition is irrelevant given the match’s full completion and confirmed winner.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.