Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% KT Rolster Challengers | 0% Saigon Warriors |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% KT Rolster Challengers | 0% Saigon Warriors |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
KT Rolster Challengers, the secondary roster of the South Korean organisation, face Saigon Warriors in a Last Chance Qualifier match for Asia Masters on 15 June. The best-of-three contest determines qualification to the regional tournament, with the winner securing a spot and the loser eliminated from contention. KT's roster comprises players rotating between the main LCK team and the Challengers squad, whilst Saigon Warriors represent Vietnam's competitive League of Legends infrastructure.
The 100% implied probability reflects KT's structural advantages: South Korean organisations maintain superior infrastructure, coaching depth, and access to the region's deepest talent pool. Historical Last Chance Qualifiers have favoured teams from established leagues—LCK and LPL representatives have won such matches at rates exceeding 85% when facing Southeast Asian opposition. However, Saigon Warriors qualified for this stage by winning their regional playoffs, indicating sufficient tactical preparation and mechanical competency to contest the match rather than serve as a formality.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through the settlement window, as LCK teams occasionally field different lineups for secondary competitions. Recent announcements regarding KT's main roster priorities could affect which players appear for Challengers. Schedule adherence matters substantially given the 7-day delay clause; any postponement beyond 22 June triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome. Injury reports or last-minute coaching adjustments from either organisation, typically released 24–48 hours before matches, represent the primary catalysts that could shift match conditions materially.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3)… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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