LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

Market context

Movistar KOI secured a 1-0 victory over GAM Esports in the Esports World Cup 2025 Group Stage, winning game one decisively with a 14–7 kill score and advancing to the Upper Bracket Final against Hanwha Life Esports [2][3][8]. This historical result frames the current 100% YES probability as a reflection of established dominance rather than speculative optimism, mirroring past lower-bracket semifinals where prior group-stage winners maintained form without roster disruption.

Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup announcements for any schedule shifts or roster changes, as the match is set for July 15 at 9:40AM ET with no prior encounters between the teams in this specific bracket context [4][7]. Key catalysts include confirmation of full lineups—KOI’s Supa, Elyoya, Myrwn, Jojopyun, and Alvaro versus GAM’s Levi, Emo, EasyLove, Kiaya, and Artemis—and any delay beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50-50 settlement [4][6]. With KOI holding a 60% winrate against GAM’s 50% and a higher global ranking (#28 vs #34), the probability aligns with their recent 70% win streak despite a two-game losing dip [4][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.