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LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 60% Volume: $312K Liquidity: $927K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Match Winner60%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)0%

Market context

Solary face Skillcamp Esport in a League of Legends lower bracket quarterfinal of the LFL Playoffs on 20 August 2026, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The best-of-three match is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET and must conclude by 23:45 UTC that day for settlement purposes.

The 100% crowd probability reflects Solary's standing as the significantly stronger outfit heading into this fixture. Solary have consistently finished in the upper half of LFL regular seasons and maintained playoff presence across multiple years, whilst Skillcamp Esport operate at a lower competitive tier within the French league structure. Historical matchups between organisations at this skill differential typically see the favoured team prevail in roughly 85–90% of lower bracket encounters, though upsets do materialise when preparation gaps narrow or meta shifts favour the underdog's champion pool.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through late August, particularly any last-minute substitutions or coaching adjustments announced within 48 hours of match time. Recent LFL scheduling has occasionally seen delays when technical infrastructure requires maintenance, though the 14-day postponement window to 3 September provides sufficient buffer. Watch for any official LFL communications regarding venue changes or broadcast delays that could affect match timing. Team social media and esports news outlets covering the French scene will flag injury concerns or player availability issues that could shift the competitive balance materially.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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