LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

T1 and Team Liquid face off in the upper bracket semifinal of the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In in Daejeon, with the match set to begin on 28 June at 04:00 ET. T1 holds a commanding 84% crowd-implied probability of winning this BO5, a figure that mirrors their dominant historical record against the American side. Strafe data shows T1 has won all four of their previous encounters, including a 1-0 victory in their last meeting on 8 December 2025[1]. Current form further validates this bias: T1 has won four of their last five matches and sits ranked #29 globally, whereas Team Liquid has won only three of their last five and trails at #112[1]. Strafe users themselves predict a T1 win with 93.6% confidence, suggesting the market’s 84% may be slightly conservative relative to community sentiment[1].

Traders should monitor pre-match roster announcements and any late coaching changes, as T1’s recent MSI trajectory has been shaped by incremental roster stability after missing the tournament from 2018 to 2021[4]. Team Liquid’s path to this stage relied on a 3-0 Play-In run in 2020, but their 2024 performance, which reached Top 6, indicates they can compete at this level despite the ranking gap[5]. A key dependency is the match’s completion window: if the game starts but is not finished, and one team wins due to an opponent’s forfeit, the market resolves to that winner; however, any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days without a result forces a 50-50 split[1]. With the settlement window ending 28 June at 09:00 UTC, any delay in the 03:00 UTC start time could trigger the tie condition, making real-time schedule updates critical[7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.